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Smoke Forecast for Umpqua North/High Cascades Complex -- Aug. 28, 2017

Smoke Outlook:  Umpqua North/High Cascades Complex                       
Issued for: Monday 28, 2017 
Air Resource Advisor: Jen Croft, Aaron Wilkerson (T)

Fire Activity:  High Cascades is reported at 16,344 acres. Umpqua North is reported at 14,817. All uncontained fires made short uphill runs with periods of increased activity and very visible smoke plumes. Active fire behavior with long range spotting was present on the Blanket and Broken Lookout fire. Fire activity from Chetco Bar and Eclipse complex contributed significantly to the regional haze in the Umpqua North and High Cascades forecast area.

Smoke:  ESE winds will provide relief in the early morning to communities on the East side of the Cascades.  By midafternoon shifting winds will return to the forecast area out of the WSW moving smoke back over to the communities of Diamond Lake, Crater and Prospect. This wind shift may bring some relief to Roseburg, Glide and Medford, however, nighttime settling will likely bring a return of smoky conditions.

Tourists at Crater Lake National Park can expect to see and smell smoke. Visitors should check for road closures and other announcements ahead of time.  Visitors can check https://www.nps.gov/crla/planyourvisit/conditions.htm for updates. 
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site
Monday
08/28
Tuesday
08/29
Wednesday
08/30
Notes for TODAY’s forecast
Roseburg
USG
Moderate
Moderate
AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Glide
Unhealthy
USG
USG
AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Toketee**
Very Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Limited relief all day
Diamond Lake**
USG
USG
USG
Early morning relief, return of heavy smoke in late PM
Prospect
Very Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Heavy smoke with pockets of clearing throughout the day due to shifting wind.
Shady Cove
Unhealthy

Unhealthy
Unhealthy
AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Medford
Unhealthy

USG
USG
AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Crater Lake NP (visitor center)
USG

USG

USG

Early morning relief, return of moderate smoke in late PM
Chiloquin
USG
USG

USG

Early morning relief, return of moderate smoke in late PM
Klamath
USG
USG

USG

Early morning relief, return of moderate smoke in late PM
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None

Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
LimitedVery Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

*Sensitive Groups include people with heart or lung disease, children, pregnant women and older adults



Oregon Smoke Blog:
Oregon Dept of Environmental Quality
Blanket Creek Fire Information
Umpqua North Complex Fire Information