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Smoke Forecast for Umpqua North/High Cascades Complex Fires -- Aug. 27, 2017

Smoke Outlook:  Umpqua North/High Cascades Complex                      
 Issued for: Sunday 27, 2017 
Air Resource Advisor: Jen Croft, Aaron Wilkerson (T)


Fire Activity:  High Cascades is reported at 14.464 acres. Umpqua Northis reported at 14,817. A RED FLAG WARNING has been issued and we will see the potential for plume dominated fire behavior this afternoon and evening. Active fire behavior with potential for long range spotting along with high intensity flare-ups and group torching will result in visible smoke plumes and heavy smoke along roadyways in the vicinity of Glide, Toketee, Diamond Lake, Prospect, and Shady Cove. 
Smoke:  ESE winds in the morning will cause periods of light impacts to communities on the West side of the Cascades, and pockets of light relief to communities on the East side.  WSW winds are expected to return in the afternoon shifting regional smoke impacts back to the central portion of the Cascades. Expect settling smoke to pool in all valley communities in the evening.
Tourists at Crater Lake National Park can expect to see and smell smoke. Visitors should check for road closures and other announcements ahead of time.  Visitors can check https://www.nps.gov/crla/planyourvisit/conditions.htm for updates. 
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site
Sunday
08/27
Monday
08/28
Tuesday
08/29
Notes for TODAY’s forecast
Roseburg
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Period of clearing in AM followed by return of smoke in PM
Glide
Unhealthy
Moderate
Moderate
Limited relief all day
Toketee**
Verry Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Limited relief all day
Diamond Lake**
USG
USG
USG
Early morning relief, return of heavy smoke in late PM
Prospect
Very Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Heavy smoke with pockets of clearing throughout the day due to shifting wind.
Shady Cove
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Limited relief all day
Medford
USG
USG
USG
Early morning relief, with potential to go unhealthy early PM
Crater Lake NP (visitor center)
USG
USG
USG
Early morning relief, return of heavy smoke in late PM
Chiloquin
USG
USG
USG
Early morning relief, return of heavy smoke in late PM
Klamath
USG
USG
USG
Early morning relief, return of heavy smoke in late PM
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
LimitedVery Unhealthy
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Sensitive Groups include people with heart or lung disease, children, pregnant women and older adults











 Oregon Smoke Blog:

Oregon Dept of Environmental Quality


Blanket Creek Fire Information


Umpqua North Complex Fire Information