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Smoke Forecasts for Blanket Creek and Spruce Lake Fires -- Aug. 5, 2017


Smoke Outlook:  Rogue River – Siskiyou National Forest        
Issued for: Saturday, August 5, 2017 
Air Resource Advisor: Carolyn Kelly (ckelly@quinault.org)



Smoke
Blanket Creek Fire - Ongoing fire activity continues to add more smoke to the area affecting regional haze.  The greatest impacts will remain mostly local with higher levels expected in Prospect, Crater Lake National Park, and Chiloquin.  Air quality in other communities around the fires can expect to see ‘moderate’ smoke levels; and potentially periods of ‘Unhealthy For Sensitivie Groups’. Winds are expected to come from the west Saturday and overnight through Sunday morning pushing smoke to the east.
 
Spruce Lake Fire - Tourists at Crater Lake National Park will be able to view and smell smoke in the park. Smoke from area fires may also hinder visibility. Smoke concentrations will increase with elevation in the park.
 
Fire
Blanket Creek Fire – Conditions remain hot and dry.  The fire is roughly 3,852 acres and fire activity is expected to persist.  These conditions may lead to increased smoke impacts locally.
 
Spruce Lake Fire – Fire activity yesterday brought the Spruce Lake Fire to roughly 4,668 acres.  The fire has been moving upslope to the east as it widens north and south.
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site
Yesterday
Today
Tomorrow
Notes for today’s forecast
Shady Cove
USG
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate levels through the day, potential times of USG
Medford
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate levels through the day, potential times of USG
Ashland
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate levels through the day, potential times of USG
Chiloquin
Moderate
USG
Moderate
Moderate levels at times, USG and Unhealthy levels can be expected
Prospect
Unhealthy
USG
Moderate
Moderate levels at times, USG and Unhealthy levels can be expected
Crater Lake NP (visitor center)
Unhealthy
Uneahlthy
USG
Moderate levels at times, USG and Unhealthy levels can be expected
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None
 
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
 
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion